Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines

Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines

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Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines
Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines
One sex, two sex, red sex, blue sex

One sex, two sex, red sex, blue sex

It's not whom you love that brings about your downfall but whom you hate

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Thomas PM Barnett
Mar 14, 2025
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Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines
Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines
One sex, two sex, red sex, blue sex
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I have read this book easily more than one thousand times. I’ve only recited the Catholic Mass more often.

One fish, Two fish, Red fish, Blue fish,
Black fish, Blue fish, Old fish, New fish.
This one has a little car.
This one has a little star.
Say! What a lot of fish there are.
Yes. Some are red, and some are blue.
Some are old and some are new.
Some are sad, and some are glad,
And some are very, very bad.
Why are they sad and glad and bad?
I do not know, go ask your dad.
Some are thin, and some are fat.
The fat one has a yellow hat.
From there to here,
From here to there,
Funny things are everywhere.

Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

Oh yes, I’m going there RIGHT NOW:

As a White Boomer male, everything gets compared back to the whole World War II thing.

And yes, there will be a test, for which I am totally prepared and the rest of you are not!

Here, let me cite the counterfactuals on Hitler and the Nazi movement that practically write themselves:

  • What if Hitler just froze things after taking France in 1940 and made no effort on the UK, except offering peace?

  • What if Hitler never took on Russia?

  • What if he hadn’t declared war on the US?

  • What if he hadn’t fixated on the “Jewish question” and its perceived connections to Marxism?

In general, what could Hitler have gotten away with (the ultimate counterfactual) if he hadn’t had these hatred blindspots that informed all of his strategic choices?

  • Jews — the ultimate enemy, causing all of Germany's problems and constituting a threat to Aryan racial purity

  • Communists — a Jewish conspiracy

  • Slavic peoples — considered inferior and destined to be dominated by the "superior" Aryan race

  • People with disabilities — harmful to the "purity" of the German people

  • LGBTQ people — ditto

  • Non-white peoples — ditto

  • Modern artists — ditto

  • Marxism in general — because it promoted racial equality and egalitarianism

  • "Jewish Physics" — versus wholesome "Deutsche Physik,” which opposed modern theoretical physics, particularly Einstein's theories of relativity.

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That last one was cited by Oppenheimer as America’s great advantage over the Germans in the race to create the bomb.

From the movie script:

GROVES

So how would you proceed?

OPPENHEIMER

You’re talking about turning theory into a practical weapons system faster than the Nazis.

GROVES

Who have a twelve-month head start.

OPPENHEIMER

Eighteen.

GROVES

How could you possibly know that?

OPPENHEIMER

Our fast neutron research took six months- the man they’ve undoubtedly put in charge will have made that leap instantly.

GROVES

Who do you think they put in charge?

OPPENHEIMER

Werner Heisenberg. He has the most intuitive understanding of atomic structure I’ve ever seen.

GROVES

You know his work?

OPPENHEIMER

I know him. Just like I know Walther Bothe. Von Weizsäcker. Diebner. In a straight race, the Germans win. We’ve got one hope.

GROVES

Which is?

OPPENHEIMER

Anti-Semitism.

GROVES

What?

OPPENHEIMER

Hitler called quantum physics 'Jewish science'. Said it right to Einstein’s face. Our one hope is that Hitler’s so blinded by hate he’s denied Heisenberg proper resources. Because it’ll take vast resources. Our nation’s best scientists, working together- right now they’re scattered.

We’re living in a world of unprecedented change:

  • Our planet’s environment being redefined, moved around (in terms of climate) and setting in motion what will be the biggest mass migration in human history (not to mention all those species similarly put on the move)

  • Demographic collapse in the advanced North coupled with still-high fertility in the South

  • A global majority middle class with all its desires for consumption and standard of living coming into play

  • The onset of the technological singularity just in time to deal with all this structural change and the challenges they present.

So no, we can’t win if we demonize science and scientists, or seek to eliminate unpopular sub-populations by defining them out of existence. We can sideline ourselves alright, but there ain’t no such thing as a global movement of Right-wing nationalists because — by definition — they cannot get along since the rest are inherently inferior.

In short, we can’t hate our way back to the top of the global heap — it’s just not possible. The demographics, both inside America and across the world simply do not support it, because they generate too few haters within “our” White Christian Nationalist ranks and too many for us to collectively hate.

Hitler sought to flood the zone and was enormously successful right up until his hatreds cumulatively forced him to invade the Soviet Union. He just had to double-down — the most celebrated of instincts today and the most inevitable source of Trump 2.0’s ultimate failure.

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The signs of hubris are already there: the 100-year-plan for Trumpist domination:


From AXIOS today:

MAGA's "100-year plan"

Illustration: Maura Losch/Axios

Well-funded MAGA forces close to the White House are preparing a "100-year plan" to try to sustain Trumpism long after President Trump leaves office.

  • Why it matters: Top executives at the America First Policy Institutetell Mike and Axios' Tal Axelrod that the group is scaling up as an incubator for the America First movement beyond Jan. 20, 2029 — promising to proselytize its policies for the next century.


At least it’s not promising a thousand-year reign, which would only be marginally more nutty.

Why?

Again, the demographics do not favor any such domination: where roughly one-fifth of the public serve as the intransigent minority, the only way to stay in power is to pervasively institutionalize state repression of all the other groups who do not buy into those racial and religious and gender definitions of superiority. That kind of apartheid system in the US is not feasible because it will ultimately elicit the violent opposition of that today-poorly-organized majority, who are just as “American” in their instincts to revolt as are that intransigent minority.

An intransigent minority refers to a small group within a population that holds firm and uncompromising views, which can disproportionately influence the majority. This concept, popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, suggests that a determined minority can often prevail over a more flexible majority.

PERPLEXITY.ai

Generationally, you can rerun this breakdown on all manner of divisive, hate-enabling issues of identity, policy, and politics. Which is why the median age for all the major MAGA support groups are 50+. They do not represent the future but the past.

That future can only be suppressed by rigging the system.

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