Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines

Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines

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Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines
Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines
Whither China?

Whither China?

Reports of China's economic looming death are greatly exaggerated

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Dr. Thomas P.M. Barnett
Jan 23, 2024
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Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines
Thomas P.M. Barnett’s Global Throughlines
Whither China?
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Jim and Sara Nuttle illustration from “America’s New Map”
SCMP: China’s three-legged race to fend off the 4 D’s of an economic apocalypse
BUSINESS INSIDER: China's rapidly dwindling future will shape the world for decades to come
FORBES: China’s Economy Has Picked Up Traits Reminiscent Of The Great Depression.
WAPO: Rumors of China’s decline are premature and dangerous

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There is a fierce debate in the West about how rapidly and profoundly China is “declining” relative to the role it has played in global growth now for three solid decades.

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There is no question that China has peaked economically in terms of extensive growth (more inputs, more outputs). Xi is adamant that China will elevate its game into intensive growth (more tech, productivity, innovation, IP, etc.), but there are serious structural issues in the way of that desired trajectory.

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